Mozambique 2025: Economy & Investment Outlook
Welcome to Mozambique 2025: Economic Realities & Investment Outlook
Understanding Mozambique's Resource-Rich Paradox
Mozambique has it all: massive natural gas reserves, strategic location, and enormous potential. Yet the country struggles with mounting debt, climate shocks, and persistent poverty. Here is the story behind the headlines.
What You'll Find:
- Essential Economics: GDP, inflation, debt, and the numbers that actually matter
- Sector Analysis: LNG, agriculture, tourism, and where the money flows
- Investment Intelligence: Regulations, risks, and opportunities decoded
- Future Outlook: Realistic scenarios to 2030—challenges and potential paths forward
Why Now?
LNG projects are advancing. Tax reforms are underway. Regional trade is expanding. But can Mozambique convert resource wealth into shared prosperity?
The data tells a complex story. We break it down clearly.
Explore the analysis →
Part I – Introduction & Context
Part II – Macroeconomic Foundations
> Current Economic Status (2025): Macroeconomic Indicators and Performance
Macroeconomic Foundations: GDP Composition and Sectoral Shifts (2020–2025)
Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy Responses
Public Debt Sustainability Metrics: Evaluation and Rollover Risks
Fiscal Deficit Trends and Revenue Mobilization: How Tax Reforms Aim to Narrow the Gap
Unemployment and Labor Market Informality: The Productivity Drag and Youth Crisis
Part III – Sectoral Economic Drivers
Key Economic Sectors: Drivers and Dependencies
LNG Sector's Contribution to Export Earnings and Economic Uplift
Agricultural Value Chains and Food Security Economics: Cashew and Cotton Exports vs. Cyclone Vulnerabilities
Tourism's Post-Pandemic Recovery Trajectory: Balancing Natural Assets with Operational Risk
Manufacturing and SME Growth Barriers: Low Contribution, High Costs, and Linkage Challenges
Renewable Energy Transition Economics: Balancing Hydropower and Untapped Potential
Part IV – Investment and Trade
FDI Inflows by Origin and Sector: The Extractive Anchor
Trade Balance and Export Diversification Strategies: The Extractive Anchor and Regional Trade Ambitions
Remittances as a Stabilizing Economic Buffer: Channeling Diaspora Wealth
Microfinance Penetration and Financial Inclusion Metrics: The Imperative for Financial Outreach
Economic Freedom Index Implications: Governance Deficits and FDI Deterrence
Part V – Regulatory Environment
> Regulatory Environment, Investment Climate, and Policy Framework
Taxation, Labor, and Compliance Regulations
Sector-Specific Regulations: Energy, Mining, and Beyond
Part VI – Risks and Resilience Economics
> Economic Vulnerabilities and Risks
> Foreign Exchange Reserve Adequacy and Volatility: The Dual Reality of Stability and Shortage
> Climate Change's Cost to GDP Growth: Investment in Resilience as an Economic Imperative
> Human Capital Investment Returns: Bridging the Skills Gap for Productivity
> The Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) of Mozambique: Purpose, History, and Status
Part VII – Opportunities and Reform Agenda
- Mozambique 2025 – Opportunities for Growth and Reform
Part VIII – Future Outlook
Future Trajectories: Scenarios to 2030
Path to Inclusive Prosperity: Balancing Resource Wealth with Structural Reform