Welcome to Mozambique 2025: Economic Realities & Investment Outlook

Understanding Mozambique's Resource-Rich Paradox

Mozambique has it all: massive natural gas reserves, strategic location, and enormous potential. Yet the country struggles with mounting debt, climate shocks, and persistent poverty.  Here is the story behind the headlines.

What You'll Find:

• Essential Economics: GDP, inflation, debt, and the numbers that actually matter
• Sector Analysis: LNG, agriculture, tourism, and where the money flows
• Investment Intelligence: Regulations, risks, and opportunities decoded
• Future Outlook: Realistic scenarios to 2030—challenges and potential paths forward

Why Now?

LNG projects are advancing. Tax reforms are underway. Regional trade is expanding. But can Mozambique convert resource wealth into shared prosperity?

The data tells a complex story. We break it down clearly.

Part I – Introduction & Context

- I Mozambique's Economic Realties in 2025

Part II – Macroeconomic Foundations

> Current Economic Status (2025): Macroeconomic Indicators and Performance

> Macroeconomic Foundations: GDP Composition and Sectoral Shifts (2020–2025)

> Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy Responses

> Public Debt Sustainability Metrics: Evaluation and Rollover Risks

> Fiscal Deficit Trends and Revenue Mobilization

 > Unemployment and Labor Market Informality

Part III – Sectoral Economic Drivers

> Key Economic Sectors: Drivers and Dependencies

> LNG Sector's Contribution to Export Earnings and Economic Uplift

> Agricultural Value Chains and Food Security Economics

> Tourism's Post-Pandemic Recovery Trajectory

> Manufacturing and SME Growth Barriers

 > Renewable Energy Transition Economics

> Mobile Money Operators (MMOs) in Mozambique

Part IV – Investment and Trade 

> FDI Inflows by Origin and Sector

 > Trade Balance and Export Diversification Strategies

> Diaspora Remittances as a Stabilizing Economic Buffer

 > Microfinance Penetration and Financial Inclusion Metrics

 > Economic Freedom Index Implications

Part V – Regulatory Environment

> Regulatory Environment, Investment Climate, and Policy Framework

> Taxation, Labor, and Compliance Regulations

 > Sector-Specific Regulations: Energy, Mining, and Beyond

> Electronic State Financial Management System - e-SISTAFE

Part VI – Risks and Resilience Economics

 > Economic Vulnerabilities and Risks

> Foreign Exchange Reserve Adequacy and Volatility

> Climate Change's Cost to GDP Growth

> Human Capital Investment Returns

> The Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) of Mozambique

Part VII – Opportunities and Reform Agenda

> Mozambique 2025 – Opportunities for Growth and Reform

Part VIII – Future Outlook

> Future Trajectories: Scenarios to 2030

> Path to Inclusive Prosperity: Balancing Resource Wealth with Structural Reform